Regen is working with National Grid Electricity Distribution to set out four credible future scenarios for NGED’s four licence areas to guide NGED’s distribution network planning.

Project duration: May 2023 – November 2023

Project lead: Jonty Haynes, Principal Analyst

To meet the UK’s carbon reduction targets, the energy system is undergoing intense change. However, this could play out in various ways. In order to plan for this energy system evolution, Regen and National Grid Electricity Distribution (NGED) produce annual Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) for each of NGED’s four licence areas. This includes engaging over 125 local authorities and regional decision-makers, project developers, asset owners, energy consumers, community energy groups and trade bodies to develop bottom-up, stakeholder-led regional future scenarios to inform NGED’s network planning and investment.

Now an annual process for each Distribution Network Operator, each DFES builds on the analysis and engagement undertaken over the previous years. The scenarios cover distribution-connected generation and storage, from solar and wind farms to gas-fired generation and batteries, alongside key sources of energy demand such as electric vehicles, heat pumps, new housing developments and hydrogen electrolysers, within the framework of the National Grid ESO Future Energy Scenarios (FES).

We’re keen to hear from developers, local authorities, regional bodies, trade organisations, major energy users and anyone else involved in distributed electricity generation, storage and demand.

If you are interested in finding out more about this project with NGED or our wider work in future energy scenarios, please contact Jonty Haynes.

The outputs from the recent NGED DFES 2022 are on NGED’s website here.

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People on this project

Ray Arrell
Head of Future Energy Systems
Ray is part of the Regen senior management team, leading our work and strategic…
Jonty Haynes
Principal Analyst
Jonty is a Principal Analyst at Regen delivering a range of technical support services,…
Frank Hodgson
Senior Energy Analyst
Frank joined Regen in 2022 as a Senior Energy Analyst and co-leads Regen's transport…
Patti Suwawmongkol
Energy Analyst
Patti is a recent starter at Regen, where she has joined as an energy…

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