Regen worked with National Grid Electricity Distribution to set out a range of credible future scenarios for NGED’s four licence areas to guide distribution network planning.

Project duration: May 2023 – December 2023

Project lead: Jonty Haynes, Principal Analyst

To meet the UK’s carbon reduction targets, the energy system will undergo substantial change. In order to plan for this energy system evolution, Regen and National Grid Electricity Distribution (NGED) produce annual Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) for each of NGED’s four licence areas. This includes engaging over 125 local authorities alongside regional decision-makers, project developers, asset owners, energy consumers, community energy groups and trade bodies to develop bottom-up, stakeholder-led regional future scenarios to inform NGED’s network planning and investment.

Now an annual process for each Distribution System Operator, each DFES builds on the analysis and engagement undertaken over the previous years. The scenarios cover distribution-connected generation and storage, from solar and wind farms to gas-fired generation and batteries, alongside key sources of energy demand such as electric vehicles, heat pumps, new housing developments and hydrogen electrolysers, within the framework of the National Grid ESO Future Energy Scenarios (FES).

The outputs of the DFES 2023 are published on National Grid’s website here.


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People on this project

Ray Arrell
Associate Director
Ray is part of the Regen leadership team, overseeing our work and strategic goals…
Jonty Haynes
Principal Analyst
Jonty is a Principal Analyst at Regen delivering a range of technical support services,…
Frank Hodgson
Senior Energy Analyst
Frank joined Regen in 2022 as a Senior Energy Analyst and co-leads Regen's transport…
Patti S
Senior Energy Analyst
Patti is one of Regen's senior energy analysts, working to deliver high quality data…

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