Regen are now working with National Grid Electricity Distribution on DFES 2023 – see here

Regen have worked with National Grid Electricity Distribution to outline a range of credible future scenarios for NGED’s four licence areas, based on local and regional evidence and stakeholder engagement, to guide NGED’s distribution network planning.

Project duration: May 2022 – November 2022

Project lead: Jonty Haynes, senior analyst

As the UK government ramps up ambitions to rapidly reduce carbon emissions on the way to a net zero 2050, the energy system is undergoing intense change – however, there is significant uncertainty around how this change may occur. In order to plan and prepare for this accelerating energy system evolution, Regen is working with National Grid Electricity Distribution (NGED) to produce the 2022 Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) for each of their four licence areas, consulting with over 125 local authorities and regional decision-makers, project developers, asset owners, energy consumers, community energy groups and trade bodies to develop bottom-up, stakeholder-led regional future scenarios to inform NGED’s network planning and investment.

Now an annual process for each Distribution Network Operator, each DFES builds on the analysis and engagement undertaken over the previous years. The scenarios cover distribution-connected generation and storage, from solar and wind farms to gas-fired generation and batteries, alongside key sources of energy demand such as electric vehicles, heat pumps, new housing developments and hydrogen electrolysers, within the framework the National Grid ESO Future Energy Scenarios (FES).

The NGED DFES 2022 outputs, including four licence area reports and interactive data maps, have been published on NGED’s website here.

Regen has also undertaken DFES assessments for Scottish and Southern Electricity Networks, covering their Southern England and North of Scotland licence areas; see here.

If you are interested in finding out more about this project with NGED or our wider work in future energy scenarios, please contact Jonty Haynes.

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People on this project

Ray Arrell
Head of Future Energy Systems
Ray is part of the Regen senior management team, leading our work and strategic…
Bruce Bardsley
Bruce is an Associate of Regen. He has assisted the data analytics team in…
Jonty Haynes
Principal Analyst
Jonty is a Principal Analyst at Regen delivering a range of technical support services,…
Tamsyn Lonsdale-Smith
Senior Energy Analyst
Tamsyn is a senior energy analyst interested in all things people and digital. She…
Grace Millman
Senior Energy Analyst
Grace is a senior energy analyst at Regen delivering high quality research, analysis and…

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