Regen are continuing to work with Western Power Distribution to outline a range of credible future scenarios for WPD’s four licence areas, based on local and regional evidence and stakeholder engagement, to guide WPD’s distribution network planning.

Project duration: May 2022 – November 2022

Project lead: Jonty Haynes, senior analyst

As the UK government ramps up ambitions to rapidly reduce carbon emissions on the way to a net zero 2050, the energy system is undergoing intense change – however, there is significant uncertainty around how this change may occur. In order to plan and prepare for this accelerating energy system evolution, Regen is working with Western Power Distribution (WPD) to produce the 2022 Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) for each of their four licence areas, consulting with over 125 local authorities and regional decision-makers, project developers, asset owners, energy consumers, community energy groups and trade bodies to develop bottom-up, stakeholder-led regional future scenarios to inform WPD’s network planning and investment.

Now an annual process for each Distribution Network Operator, each DFES builds on the analysis and engagement undertaken over the previous years. The scenarios cover distribution-connected generation and storage, from solar and wind farms to gas-fired generation and batteries, alongside key sources of energy demand such as electric vehicles, heat pumps, new housing developments and hydrogen electrolysers, within the framework the National Grid ESO Future Energy Scenarios (FES).


Noun Discussion 1614203 005A63As part of this project, we are running consultation webinars for the East Midlands, West Midlands, South Wales and South West. Your feedback will directly influence the main models and assumptions that are used during this analysis, which is being undertaken over the course of 2022. During these webinars, attendees will have the opportunity to respond to questions we have for you about a number of the key technologies we are modelling, as well as an opportunity to ask questions back to us, and to understand WPD’s use of the DFES analysis and wider network planning processes.

If you are interesting in attending one or more of these events, please see further details and how to register here.

The WPD DFES 2021 outputs, including four licence area reports and interactive data maps, have been published in on WPDs website here.

Regen has also undertaken DFES assessments for Scottish and Southern Electricity Networks, covering their Southern England and North of Scotland licence areas; see here.

If you are interested in finding out more about this project with WPD or our wider work in future energy scenarios, please contact Jonty Haynes.

Western PowerPNG High Res

People on this project

Ray Arrell
Head of technical development
Ray leads Regen's technical development strategy, coordinating the development of the company's technical capabilities…
Bruce Bardsley
Energy analyst
Bruce is a new intern at Regen. He will be assisting the data analytics…
Jonty Haynes
Senior energy analyst
Jonty is a senior energy analyst at Regen delivering a range of technical support…
Tamsyn Lonsdale-Smith
Energy analyst
Tamsyn is a new starter at Regen as an energy analyst intern and will…
Grace Millman
Energy analyst
Grace is an energy analyst at Regen delivering high quality research, analysis and energy…

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