Project duration: July 2020 – December 2020
Project lead: Ray Arrell, Head of Technical Development
Regen is working with SSEN to undertake the 2020 edition of their Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) analysis for both the North of Scotland (SHEPD) and Southern England (SEPD) distribution network licence areas. As part of this project, Regen is also refreshing the more granular Low Carbon Technology (LCT) study that Regen developed with SSEN towards the end of 2019.
The DFES process provides SSEN with detailed scenario projections for the increase (or reduction) in the connected capacity of energy generation, storage, and disruptive demand technologies connecting to SSEN’s distribution network out to 2050. The analysis also includes projections for new housing and the increase in commercial and industrial developments.
This work forms part of SSEN’s integrated network planning and investment appraisal process, with Regen’s DFES projection datasets and the accompanying written reports allowing network planners and forecasting teams to model and analyse different future load scenarios on SSEN’s network. The DFES also supports SSEN to develop an evidence base and input into SSEN’s business plan submission for the upcoming RIIO-ED2 price control period.
Engagement with regional and local stakeholders is a core feature of DFES analysis. Regen teamed up with SSEN and the Energy Systems Catapult to deliver a series of interactive webinars across August and September, looking at the local area energy plans and future energy scenarios in both licence areas. A summary of these events and the Mentimeter slides (including results of some online polling conducted on the day) are available on our website, see: North of Scotland webinar (25 Aug) and Southern England webinars (3 & 8 Sep).
The project has also initiated a data and information exchange with all of the local authorities that sit within each of SSEN’s licence areas. This process enables Regen to understand the location and trajectories for the development of new housing and commercial developments, as well understanding the impacts of local energy strategies, initiatives, decarbonisation targets and climate change declarations, at a local level.
The analysis for the DFES and LCT is currently underway, with results expected to be published at the end of the year.
In the meantime, you can download the first round of the SSEN DFES and the LCT :
If you are interested in finding out more about this project with SSEN or our wider work in future energy scenarios, please contact Ray Arrell.