Project duration: 2018 – 2020

Scenarios development
Regen are working with Western Power Distribution (WPD), UK Power Networks (UKPN) and Scottish and Southern Electricity Networks (SSEN) to develop detailed local scenario analysis for the future development of distributed energy. The growth potential of network connected renewable energy is examined, including electricity generation technologies, storage and disruptive demand technologies. Growth potential is analysed on a local geographic basis, down to primary and secondary substation areas, up to 2032, and against National Grid’s Future Energy Scenarios.

Our reports for WPD’s licence areas are now available:

 

Led by: Poppy Maltby
Contact: pmaltby@regen.co.uk

People on this project

Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Senior project manager
Ray’s is one of Regen's Senior Project Managers, continuing Regen’s work and understanding around…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our commercial projects.…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Energy analyst
Frankie works as an Energy analyst at Regen. He delivers the future energy scenario…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

The latest in Regen’s distribution future energy scenarios (DFES) was launched by Scottish and Southern Networks (SSEN) at a webinar on 15 February 2019.

With 3.6 GW of distributed generation (of which 2.5 GW is renewable) already connected to their southern licence area, SSEN are looking to understand potential changes to demand on their network from the rapid changes in our electricity system.

In order to plan their networks and assess where they need to invest, all DNOs are now looking at scenarios for how demands on their networks may change at a local level. Regen is supporting this vital forward planning and has carried out DFES for all four Western Power Distribution licence areas, and UK Power Networks.

The approach of these studies is to look in detail at the local area, taking account of factors such as the energy resources, projects already in the pipeline and local planning policies. In SSEN’s southern  licence area ground-mounted solar has been the dominant decentralised generation technology.

Figure 3-3: Ground-mounted solar PV technically unconstrained areas for future projects. 

Solar Resource Map (DO NOT USE)

The analysis is the first step in a process for SSEN, who are using the data to identify areas of future potential network stress. They will then be using that information to understand how constraints might be best managed or alleviated over time to support more local generation, along with increasing electrification of heat and transport.

Using the framework of National Grid’s Future Energy Scenarios (FES) 2018, the report presents a range of possible futures for the SSEN Southern licence areas electricity system up to 2032.

The four scenarios start from Community Renewables, a highly decentralised system that is on track to achieve the 80% reduction in carbon by 2050. This scenario quadruples rooftop solar installation and has around 20% of homes with heat pumps by 2032.

At the other end of the spectrum, a centralised slow growth system Steady Progression, sees continuing of the hiatus in decarbonisation along with increasing levels of air conditioning.

Figure 3-6: Total generation connections by 2032 in Community Renewables.

Top 5 Generation Map 05

Key areas within the study include an assessment of electric vehicle growth and associated capacities and types of chargers in the region. In the highest scenarios, the area could see around 2 million EVs by 2032.

3

The study also includes a detailed analysis of planned strategic sites for new domestic and commercial developments to help SSEN understand where the planned 280,000 new homes might be built and what impact they may have.

The findings of the work are spelled out in a public report and SSEN are making the data available to stakeholders such as local authorities and LEPs.

People on this project

Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Senior project manager
Ray’s is one of Regen's Senior Project Managers, continuing Regen’s work and understanding around…
Tamar Bourne
Tamar Bourne
Senior project manager - smart energy lead
Tamar leads Regen’s smart grids and local supply projects including; a network innovation trial…
Olly Frankland
Olly Frankland
Project manager
Olly manages a wide variety of complex projects. He has developed a strong knowledge…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our commercial projects.…
Madeleine Greenhalgh
Madeleine Greenhalgh
Policy and advocacy manager
Madeleine is the policy lead for Regen and the Electricity Storage Network, working to…
Kerry Hayes
Kerry Hayes
Project manager
Kerry is a project manager at Regen who has a broad range of experience,…
Jonty Haynes
Jonty Haynes
Energy analyst
Jonty primarily works within the energy scenarios team, supporting research projects and data analytics.…
Ky Hoare
Ky Hoare
Local energy coordinator
Ky specialises in local energy issues and supports the delivery of Regen’s community energy…
Merlin Hyman
Merlin Hyman
Chief executive
Merlin leads Regen’s mission to transform how we generate, supply and use energy. Merlin…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Energy analyst
Frankie works as an Energy analyst at Regen. He delivers the future energy scenario…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Ellie Wilkes
Ellie Wilkes
Graduate intern
Ellie joined recently as an Intern. She splits her time between supporting projects in…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

Project Duration: September 2017 to March 2018

IWA is an independent think tank working to develop practical ideas and strategies to improve the economy, education, environment and health in Wales.

IWA’s Re-Energising Wales project will provide a practical blueprint to enable Wales to meet its projected energy demands entirely from renewable sources by 2035, resulting in an 80 per cent reduction in energy-related greenhouse gas emissions.


Six separate work streams will come together to deliver the project. The aim is to create a plan which could be adopted by decision makers, to make Wales a net exporter of renewable energy.

Regen are completing work package 2 of the project, which aims to develop an energy portfolio/system case study for the Swansea Bay City Region to 2035. This whole energy system vision will maximise use of local renewable energy resource helping to enable the transition to a clean energy system in Wales.

The energy system model will consider:

  • the aim to generate the equivalent of 100 per cent of the region’s net annual electricity consumption
  • a target of 50g CO2e/kWh of electricity consumed in the region by 2035
  • the roll out of electric vehicles and decarbonisation of the transport network
  • the use of smart and flexible energy technology (including energy storage and demand side response)
  • the role of energy efficiency and the development of low carbon heat technology
  • continued decentralisation of energy assets through local and community ownership.

Policy recommendations will be developed from the modelling analysis to outline how the region can encourage decarbonisation and decentralisation of the energy system and also highlight current barriers to this vision.

 

Final report can be found here.

Further details on the entire Re-energising Wales project are available here.

 

Led by: Johnny Gowdy

Contact: jgowdy@regen.co.uk

People on this project

Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Senior project manager
Ray’s is one of Regen's Senior Project Managers, continuing Regen’s work and understanding around…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our commercial projects.…
Madeleine Greenhalgh
Madeleine Greenhalgh
Policy and advocacy manager
Madeleine is the policy lead for Regen and the Electricity Storage Network, working to…
Merlin Hyman
Merlin Hyman
Chief executive
Merlin leads Regen’s mission to transform how we generate, supply and use energy. Merlin…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Energy analyst
Frankie works as an Energy analyst at Regen. He delivers the future energy scenario…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Ellie Wilkes
Ellie Wilkes
Graduate intern
Ellie joined recently as an Intern. She splits her time between supporting projects in…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

Regen’s whole-system thinking is seeking to understand how both the electricity and gas networks will evolve, in a decentralised and decarbonised UK energy system. Building on the growth scenarios work Regen has undertaken for WPD and other DNOs, Wales and West Utilities (WWU) has commissioned Regen to develop a methodology to create regional growth scenarios to support long term demand and investment planning for the gas network.

Wales And West (cropped)

The development of this methodology uses common assumptions and approaches that Regen has developed for electricity network scenarios, but also develops an approach that will be bespoke to the gas networks. The scenarios focus on the evolution of heat demand, delivery technologies and fuels, the growth of gas fired power generation and the changing gas supply mix, including the introduction of hydrogen and injection of biomethane.

Regen is working closely with WWU to understand how this methodology could be developed to support future investment planning and the evolution of the gas distribution networks.

Led by: Ray Arrell – Senior Project Manager

Contact: rarrell@regen.co.uk

People on this project

Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Senior project manager
Ray’s is one of Regen's Senior Project Managers, continuing Regen’s work and understanding around…
Tamar Bourne
Tamar Bourne
Senior project manager - smart energy lead
Tamar leads Regen’s smart grids and local supply projects including; a network innovation trial…
Tim Crook
Tim Crook
Senior project manager
Tim is a mechanical engineer with a broad range of experience in onshore heat…
Olly Frankland
Olly Frankland
Project manager
Olly manages a wide variety of complex projects. He has developed a strong knowledge…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our commercial projects.…
Kerry Hayes
Kerry Hayes
Project manager
Kerry is a project manager at Regen who has a broad range of experience,…
Jonty Haynes
Jonty Haynes
Energy analyst
Jonty primarily works within the energy scenarios team, supporting research projects and data analytics.…
Ky Hoare
Ky Hoare
Local energy coordinator
Ky specialises in local energy issues and supports the delivery of Regen’s community energy…
Mark Howard
Mark Howard
Business support manager (ZEBCat)
Mark is an engineer with over a decade of experience in the low carbon…
Merlin Hyman
Merlin Hyman
Chief executive
Merlin leads Regen’s mission to transform how we generate, supply and use energy. Merlin…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Energy analyst
Frankie works as an Energy analyst at Regen. He delivers the future energy scenario…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Ellie Wilkes
Ellie Wilkes
Graduate intern
Ellie joined recently as an Intern. She splits her time between supporting projects in…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

Project duration: 2015 – 2018

Scenarios development
Regen are working with Western Power Distribution (WPD), UK Power Networks (UKPN) and Scottish and Southern Electricity Networks (SSEN) to develop detailed local scenario analysis for the future development of distributed energy. The growth potential of network connected renewable energy is examined, including electricity generation technologies, storage and disruptive demand technologies. Growth potential is analysed on a local geographic basis, down to primary and secondary substation areas, up to 2032, and against National Grid’s Future Energy Scenarios.

Our reports for WPD’s licence areas are now available:

WPD has published its reports on the licence areas, Strategic network investment, based on the growth potential data we provided, which assesses options for reinforcement and provides recommendations for ‘low regret’ investment.

Led by: Poppy Maltby
Contact: pmaltby@regen.co.uk

People on this project

Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Senior project manager
Ray’s is one of Regen's Senior Project Managers, continuing Regen’s work and understanding around…
Tamar Bourne
Tamar Bourne
Senior project manager - smart energy lead
Tamar leads Regen’s smart grids and local supply projects including; a network innovation trial…
Olly Frankland
Olly Frankland
Project manager
Olly manages a wide variety of complex projects. He has developed a strong knowledge…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our commercial projects.…
Kerry Hayes
Kerry Hayes
Project manager
Kerry is a project manager at Regen who has a broad range of experience,…
Jonty Haynes
Jonty Haynes
Energy analyst
Jonty primarily works within the energy scenarios team, supporting research projects and data analytics.…
Ky Hoare
Ky Hoare
Local energy coordinator
Ky specialises in local energy issues and supports the delivery of Regen’s community energy…
Merlin Hyman
Merlin Hyman
Chief executive
Merlin leads Regen’s mission to transform how we generate, supply and use energy. Merlin…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Energy analyst
Frankie works as an Energy analyst at Regen. He delivers the future energy scenario…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Ellie Wilkes
Ellie Wilkes
Graduate intern
Ellie joined recently as an Intern. She splits her time between supporting projects in…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

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