In May 2020, Western Power Distribution and Regen ran a series of consultation webinars on the Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) in each of the four Western Power Distribution licence areas.

Regen and WPD discussed the local factors influencing the development of electric vehicles, wind and solar farms , energy storage and low-carbon heat with over 200 stakeholders. These form an integral part of the WPD 2020 DFES project, which looks at the uptake and deployment of renewable and fossil fuel power generation, energy storage, low-carbon heat, and electric vehicles, as well as analysing planned housing developments. To read about the project in full click here.

A key part of this project is engagement and consultation with local stakeholders, from local government, to developers, installers, and community energy groups. Feedback from these webinars will directly influence the models and assumptions that are made during this analysis, the results of which will be finalised in the autumn of 2020. Please see the attached document for information on the webinar agenda and briefing.

Thanks to all those who attended.

Screengrab From East Midlands Webinar of panelists talking

Big WPD Little Regen

People on this project

Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Head of technical development
Ray leads Regen's technical development strategy, coordinating the development of the company's capabilities and…
Tamar Bourne
Tamar Bourne
Senior project manager - smart energy lead
Tamar leads Regen’s smart energy and innovative supply work. Past projects include: writing the…
Olly Frankland
Olly Frankland
Project manager
Olly manages a wide variety of complex projects. He has developed a strong knowledge…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our advisory projects,…
Kerry Hayes
Kerry Hayes
Project manager
Kerry is a project manager at Regen who has a broad range of experience,…
Jonty Haynes
Jonty Haynes
Energy analyst
Jonty is an Energy Analyst at Regen delivering a range of technical support services.…
Ky Hoare
Ky Hoare
Local energy coordinator
Ky specialises in local energy issues and supports the delivery of Regen’s community energy…
Merlin Hyman
Merlin Hyman
Chief executive
Merlin leads Regen’s mission to transform how we generate, supply and use energy. Merlin…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Senior energy analyst
As Senior Analyst at Regen Frankie has lead and helped deliver Regen's 'future energy…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Ellie Wilkes
Ellie Wilkes
Graduate intern
Ellie joined recently as an Intern. She splits her time between supporting projects in…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

Project duration: January 2020 to June 2020

Project with: Western Power Distribution (WPD) and Wales and West Utilities

Summary: Cross-vector distribution net zero scenarios to 2050 for South Wales licence area

Background:

Energy scenarios are key to helping energy networks to understand and plan for how decarbonisation will impact their operations in the short, medium, and longer term. These changes include:

  • The decarbonisation of heat and transport.
  • The increase in renewable generation at all scales.
  • The production, supply and use of low carbon gases such as hydrogen and biomethane.

The project:

The Net Zero South Wales 2050 innovation project has been undertaken as a partnership between Regen, Western Power Distribution (WPD) and Wales and West Utilities with funding from the Network Innovation Allowance programme.

This innovation project was about bringing two networks together, developing insights and value from an integrated approach to gas and electricity scenario planning and exploring an increasingly flexible and cross-vector system. It is clear that as a result of net zero the different energy vectors (power, heat and transport) will need to become more integrated, co-dependent and joined-up in their operation and long-term planning.

Regen has been working since 2015 on a Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) methodology that creates bottom-up, stakeholder led, locally relevant decarbonisation pathways for licence areas and regions. See https://www.regen.co.uk/area/distribution-future-energy-scenarios/

The main objective of the project was to develop a new methodology for conducting cross-vector scenario forecasting at a regional level, merging two pre-existing studies for gas and electricity, and to provide insights into how South Wales might transition to a net zero future under three net zero scenario pathways: High Electrification, Core Hydrogen and High Hydrogen along with a hybrid heat sensitivity.

Untitled

The outputs from the report included a dataset, a companion report and a learning report which also contained recommendations for further study.  Please contact WPD and WWU directly for access to the datasets.

Some key insights and learnings are outlined below:

Imperative of agreeing local pathways for heat decarbonisation

Carbon emissions from heat decline at different times in the different scenarios and there is a significant range in the scenarios around how electricity or hydrogen might be used for heat.

Although it is valuable to understand this range, for investment in networks and decarbonisation more certainty is needed.

This certainty is likely to come from both a clear national heat strategy coupled with local decision making. Any process would need to be thorough, transparent, and consultative, involving both gas and electricity networks. The sooner these decisions about heat pathways are made the better, for carbon and cost, for networks, people, and the whole energy system.

ASHP Under CH
The different densities of Air Source Heat Pumps in South Wales by 2050 in the Core Hydrogen scenario

Understanding how demand and generation behaviour might shift

The analysis also looked a simulated day in 2035 and 2050 to understand how the pathways might impact daily typical demand. This found that by 2050, winter day electricity demand doubles in High Electrification, though High Hydrogen has highest total energy demand across both networks.

However in conducting the simulated seasonal day modelling, we established that applying generic profiles developed in 2019 are likely not reflective of the way dispatchable or flexible sources of distributed demand and supply will operate and interact with the network in 2035 or 2050. We recommend that more work is needed to understand and model what these shifts could look like.

Interaction between distribution and transmission in net zero

The project focused on distribution level however we found that although there was increasing level of distributed supply in both gas and electricity, a significant role remained for the transmission system. For example distributed hydrogen production via electrolysis is likely to meet only a proportion of hydrogen demand. Further supply will require a strategy for large-scale hydrogen production, storage and transmission in South Wales.

Similarly electricity demand and supply variance increases in both summer and winter, in all scenarios which highlighted that both local and national balancing is likely to be increasingly important.

View the project reports online here

WPD WWU South Wales OA Map No Key

 

To find out more about this project, contact Poppy Maltby at pmaltby@regen.co.uk and you can also watch the webinar about the project on the events page here.


 

People on this project

Christine Chapter
Christine Chapter
Head of Innovation
Christine has recently joined Regen as our new Head of Innovation. She is looking…
Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Head of technical development
Ray leads Regen's technical development strategy, coordinating the development of the company's capabilities and…
Tamar Bourne
Tamar Bourne
Senior project manager - smart energy lead
Tamar leads Regen’s smart energy and innovative supply work. Past projects include: writing the…
Olly Frankland
Olly Frankland
Project manager
Olly manages a wide variety of complex projects. He has developed a strong knowledge…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our advisory projects,…
Madeleine Greenhalgh
Madeleine Greenhalgh
Policy and advocacy manager
Madeleine is the policy lead for Regen and the Electricity Storage Network, working to…
Kerry Hayes
Kerry Hayes
Project manager
Kerry is a project manager at Regen who has a broad range of experience,…
Jonty Haynes
Jonty Haynes
Energy analyst
Jonty is an Energy Analyst at Regen delivering a range of technical support services.…
Ky Hoare
Ky Hoare
Local energy coordinator
Ky specialises in local energy issues and supports the delivery of Regen’s community energy…
Mark Howard
Mark Howard
Project Manager
Mark holds a bachelors degree in engineering and has over a decade of experience…
Merlin Hyman
Merlin Hyman
Chief executive
Merlin leads Regen’s mission to transform how we generate, supply and use energy. Merlin…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Senior energy analyst
As Senior Analyst at Regen Frankie has lead and helped deliver Regen's 'future energy…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Ellie Wilkes
Ellie Wilkes
Graduate intern
Ellie joined recently as an Intern. She splits her time between supporting projects in…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

Project duration: February 2020 to October 2020

Regen is working with WPD to develop Distribution Future Energy Scenarios for new electricity generation, storage, and demand out to 2050 to inform network planning and investment.

We have just lived through a decade of great change in the energy system, and are looking forward to further, greater change in the near future. Regen is working with Western Power Distribution (WPD) to produce the 2020 Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) for each of their four licence areas, consulting with over 125 local authorities, as well as developers and community energy groups to develop stakeholder-led future scenarios to inform network planning and investment at WPD.

This refreshes our previous analysis process for the 2019 DFES, for the first time including three net zero scenarios.
The results will be published in Winter 2020.

Team Working2

Regen consulted with local stakeholders in May 2020

Due to the ‘ongoing circumstances’ relating to gatherings of large people, this year we moved online to host four consultation webinars with WPD and Regen speakers discussing local issues with over 200 stakeholders across the licence areas. To see the slides, agenda, and recordings of these sessions, please click here.

Screengrab From East Midlands

Regen has previously published several studies, looking at renewable and non-renewable electricity generation, electricity storage, and the growth of electricity demand from new-builds as well as new disruptive demand from electric vehicles and their chargers, heat pumps and air conditioning.

  • Regen has published DFES with WPD since 2016, the previous study is available here
  • Regen has assessed how decarbonisation will change use of the gas grid, our regional growth scenarios are available here

Icons 160 160 Future Energy Scenarios 1

 


If you are interested in finding out more about our future energy scenarios work and this project, please contact Frankie Mayo or any of the analyst team at Regen.


 

People on this project

Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Head of technical development
Ray leads Regen's technical development strategy, coordinating the development of the company's capabilities and…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our advisory projects,…
Jonty Haynes
Jonty Haynes
Energy analyst
Jonty is an Energy Analyst at Regen delivering a range of technical support services.…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Senior energy analyst
As Senior Analyst at Regen Frankie has lead and helped deliver Regen's 'future energy…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

Project duration: 2019 – June 2020

Since 2015, Regen has pioneered the Distributed Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) approach to assisting network strategy and planning. Regen has worked with a number of DNOs, including SSEN, to develop detailed local scenario analysis for the future development of distributed energy. The growth potential of network connected energy assets has been examined, including electricity generation technologies, storage and disruptive demand technologies, down to primary and secondary substation areas.

However, for low voltage network investment planning and risk mitigation strategies a more granular forecast is required. To better understand the potential impacts to distribution networks, detailed forecasts of annual Low Carbon Technology (LCT) uptake are required – including EV chargers, heat pumps and rooftop PV. Regen has, therefore, been working with SSEN to produce scenario-based projections of LCT installations to a feeder substation level. The results support SSEN in its ambition to improve its understanding of the impact of electric vehicles and other low carbon technologies on its network.

Estimating the number of these technologies that will connect at a street by street or feeder substation level – of which there are over 520,000 in SSEN’s licence areas – has required high granularity GIS analysis. We have been analysing these technologies in both the domestic and non-domestic setting, resulting in the analysis of nine different electric vehicle charger archetypes. These archetypes include, for example, both on and off-street chargers in a domestic setting and national and local en-route chargers.

In order to analyse a range of future projections, analysis was undertaken for five unique scenarios. These included the four scenarios in National Grid’s 2019 Future Energy Scenarios study: Two Degrees, Community Renewables, Consumer Evolution and Steady Progression. Since the analysis and work behind National Grid’s 2019 study was undertaken, the UK’s climate, energy and transport policy landscape has shifted, with the UK Parliament declaring a climate emergency on 1 May, a 2050 net zero emissions target being passed into law on 27 June, and a ban on new petrol, diesel and hybrid cars being brought forward to 2035. As a result, a fifth scenario was modelled: titled Net Zero.

EV Projections SSEN

The bespoke Net Zero scenario includes faster take up of electric vehicles in the near-term, and lower total vehicle numbers/miles. It is a scaled-up version of National Grid’s  Two Degrees and Community Renewables scenarios, and incorporates the CCC’s recommendations for ‘further ambition’ in their Net Zero technical report, with an estimated 2028 date for when all new cars are electric, 3 years earlier than the FES. In addition, a CCC further ambition recommendation is for a 10% reduction in overall car mileage.

A wide variety of datasets were used to analyse specific regional and local demographic attributes, geographical characteristics and local resources. Knowing the number of different assets that are connected to a feeder substation is classified as a ‘scale factor’, information which must then be qualified with an ‘uptake factor’. For example, if a feeder substation has n number of homes connected to it, how many of those homes have off-street parking and so are suitable to host an off-street EV charger? The graphic below illustrates interim results of the spatial distribution of off-street EV charging.

Off Street Charger Density Map 4 01

The final report for the project “High granularity projections for low carbon technology uptake – electric vehicle, heat pumps and solar PV” was launched on 22 June 2020 and can be found here.

Ssen Ev


To find out more about this project, contact Joel Venn at JVenn@regen.co.uk


 

People on this project

Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Head of technical development
Ray leads Regen's technical development strategy, coordinating the development of the company's capabilities and…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our advisory projects,…
Jonty Haynes
Jonty Haynes
Energy analyst
Jonty is an Energy Analyst at Regen delivering a range of technical support services.…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Senior energy analyst
As Senior Analyst at Regen Frankie has lead and helped deliver Regen's 'future energy…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

Project duration: July 2017 to September 2019

Regen’s whole-system thinking is seeking to understand how both the electricity and gas networks will evolve, in a decentralised and decarbonised UK energy system. Building on the growth scenarios work Regen has undertaken for WPD and other DNOs, Wales and West Utilities (WWU) commissioned Regen to develop a methodology to create regional growth scenarios to support long term demand and investment planning for the gas network.

 

The development of this methodology used common assumptions and approaches that Regen developed for electricity network scenarios, but also developed an approach that was bespoke for sources of demand and supply connected to gas distribution networks. The scenarios focus on the evolution of heat demand, delivery technologies and fuels, the growth of gas fired power generation and the changing gas supply mix, including the introduction of hydrogen and injection of biomethane.

WWU used the outputs of this assessment of their network, to inform their business plan submission to Ofgem in 2019.

WWU Business Plan DFES

Figure 1: Progression of WWU’s Net Zero Vision, based on Regen’s DFES analysis. (Credit & Source WWU RIIO-GD2 business plan, December 2019, WWU website)

The outputs of the project are available to download:

Regional FES Phase 1 Inception And Scoping Report Regional FES Phase 2 SW Regional Results Report Regional FES Phase 3 Wales Regional Results Report Regional FES Technical Companion Document

Wales And West (cropped)

 

 

 


To find out more about this project, or our scenarios work more generally, contact Ray Arrell at rarrell@regen.co.uk


 

People on this project

Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Head of technical development
Ray leads Regen's technical development strategy, coordinating the development of the company's capabilities and…
Tamar Bourne
Tamar Bourne
Senior project manager - smart energy lead
Tamar leads Regen’s smart energy and innovative supply work. Past projects include: writing the…
Tim Crook
Tim Crook
Senior project manager
Tim is a mechanical engineer with a broad range of experience in onshore heat…
Olly Frankland
Olly Frankland
Project manager
Olly manages a wide variety of complex projects. He has developed a strong knowledge…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our advisory projects,…
Kerry Hayes
Kerry Hayes
Project manager
Kerry is a project manager at Regen who has a broad range of experience,…
Jonty Haynes
Jonty Haynes
Energy analyst
Jonty is an Energy Analyst at Regen delivering a range of technical support services.…
Ky Hoare
Ky Hoare
Local energy coordinator
Ky specialises in local energy issues and supports the delivery of Regen’s community energy…
Mark Howard
Mark Howard
Project Manager
Mark holds a bachelors degree in engineering and has over a decade of experience…
Merlin Hyman
Merlin Hyman
Chief executive
Merlin leads Regen’s mission to transform how we generate, supply and use energy. Merlin…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Senior energy analyst
As Senior Analyst at Regen Frankie has lead and helped deliver Regen's 'future energy…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Ellie Wilkes
Ellie Wilkes
Graduate intern
Ellie joined recently as an Intern. She splits her time between supporting projects in…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

Project duration: 2018-2019

The aim of this project was to support Western Power Distribution (WPD) to conduct network planning and investment appraisal. Regen achieved this by informing future load analysis and helping identify where there may be a need for strategic network investment, active network management or investment in flexibility services.

Since 2015, Regen has worked with WPD in the development of a methodology and process to create distribution future energy scenarios. WPD can then use this data to identify potential network constraints and to develop a set of sub-transmission investment options.

The key aims for this project were to support WPD to:

  1. Forecast and plan for new decentralised generation and storage connections
  2. Forecast and model new sources of demand including demand coming from high electricity use domestic and commercial technologies such as EVs and heat pumps
  3. Understand the impact these changes will have on flows in the local distribution network.
  4. Provide an evidence base to inform future network planning and investment appraisal
  5. Provide a point of engagement and dialogue with regional stakeholders including network users, local authorities and LEPs.

Future Scenarios 2 1

Our reports for WPD’s licence areas are now available:

WPD Midlands English

Regen are also working with UK Power Networks (UKPN), Scottish and Southern Electricity Networks (SSEN) and Wales and West Utilities (WWU) to develop detailed local scenario analysis for the future development of distributed energy. To find out more about our other Scenario projects, click here.


To find out more about our work with Scenarios, contact Poppy Maltby at pmaltby@regen.co.uk


 

People on this project

Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Head of technical development
Ray leads Regen's technical development strategy, coordinating the development of the company's capabilities and…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our advisory projects,…
Jonty Haynes
Jonty Haynes
Energy analyst
Jonty is an Energy Analyst at Regen delivering a range of technical support services.…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Senior energy analyst
As Senior Analyst at Regen Frankie has lead and helped deliver Regen's 'future energy…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

As part of our distribution future energy scenarios (DFES) work, Regen have created Future Electricity Scenarios for Scottish and Southern Electricity Networks (SSEN).

With 3.6 GW of distributed generation (of which 2.5 GW is renewable) already connected to their southern licence area, SSEN need to understand potential changes to demand on their network from the rapid changes in our electricity system.

In order to plan their networks and assess where they need to invest, all DNOs are now looking at scenarios for how demands on their networks may change at a local level. Regen is supporting this vital forward planning and has carried out DFES for all four Western Power Distribution licence areas, and UK Power Networks.

The approach of these studies is to look in detail at the local area, taking account of factors such as the energy resources, projects already in the pipeline and local planning policies. In SSEN’s southern  licence area ground-mounted solar has been the dominant decentralised generation technology.

Figure 3-3: Ground-mounted solar PV technically unconstrained areas for future projects. 

Solar Resource Map (DO NOT USE)

The analysis is the first step in a process for SSEN, who are using the data to identify areas of future potential network stress. They will then be using that information to understand how constraints might be best managed or alleviated over time to support more local generation, along with increasing electrification of heat and transport.

Using the framework of National Grid’s Future Energy Scenarios (FES) 2018, the report presents a range of possible futures for the SSEN Southern licence areas electricity system up to 2032.

The four scenarios start from Community Renewables, a highly decentralised system that is on track to achieve the 80% reduction in carbon by 2050. This scenario quadruples rooftop solar installation and has around 20% of homes with heat pumps by 2032.

At the other end of the spectrum, a centralised slow growth system Steady Progression, sees continuing of the hiatus in decarbonisation along with increasing levels of air conditioning.

Figure 3-6: Total generation connections by 2032 in Community Renewables.

Top 5 Generation Map 05

Key areas within the study include an assessment of electric vehicle growth and associated capacities and types of chargers in the region. In the highest scenarios, the area could see around 2 million EVs by 2032.

3

The study also includes a detailed analysis of planned strategic sites for new domestic and commercial developments to help SSEN understand where the planned 280,000 new homes might be built and what impact they may have.

The findings of the work are spelled out in a public report and SSEN are making the data available to stakeholders such as local authorities and LEPs.

The project was launched by Scottish and Southern Networks (SSEN) at a webinar on 15 February 2019.


To find out more about our Scenarios work, contact Joel Venn at jvenn@regen.co.uk


 

People on this project

Christine Chapter
Christine Chapter
Head of Innovation
Christine has recently joined Regen as our new Head of Innovation. She is looking…
Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Head of technical development
Ray leads Regen's technical development strategy, coordinating the development of the company's capabilities and…
Tamar Bourne
Tamar Bourne
Senior project manager - smart energy lead
Tamar leads Regen’s smart energy and innovative supply work. Past projects include: writing the…
Olly Frankland
Olly Frankland
Project manager
Olly manages a wide variety of complex projects. He has developed a strong knowledge…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our advisory projects,…
Madeleine Greenhalgh
Madeleine Greenhalgh
Policy and advocacy manager
Madeleine is the policy lead for Regen and the Electricity Storage Network, working to…
Kerry Hayes
Kerry Hayes
Project manager
Kerry is a project manager at Regen who has a broad range of experience,…
Jonty Haynes
Jonty Haynes
Energy analyst
Jonty is an Energy Analyst at Regen delivering a range of technical support services.…
Ky Hoare
Ky Hoare
Local energy coordinator
Ky specialises in local energy issues and supports the delivery of Regen’s community energy…
Mark Howard
Mark Howard
Project Manager
Mark holds a bachelors degree in engineering and has over a decade of experience…
Merlin Hyman
Merlin Hyman
Chief executive
Merlin leads Regen’s mission to transform how we generate, supply and use energy. Merlin…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Senior energy analyst
As Senior Analyst at Regen Frankie has lead and helped deliver Regen's 'future energy…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Ellie Wilkes
Ellie Wilkes
Graduate intern
Ellie joined recently as an Intern. She splits her time between supporting projects in…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

Project Duration: September 2017 to March 2018

IWA is an independent think tank working to develop practical ideas and strategies to improve the economy, education, environment and health in Wales.

IWA’s Re-Energising Wales project will provide a practical blueprint to enable Wales to meet its projected energy demands entirely from renewable sources by 2035, resulting in an 80 per cent reduction in energy-related greenhouse gas emissions.


Six separate work streams will come together to deliver the project. The aim is to create a plan which could be adopted by decision makers, to make Wales a net exporter of renewable energy.

Regen are completing work package 2 of the project, which aims to develop an energy portfolio/system case study for the Swansea Bay City Region to 2035. This whole energy system vision will maximise use of local renewable energy resource helping to enable the transition to a clean energy system in Wales.

The energy system model will consider:

  • the aim to generate the equivalent of 100 per cent of the region’s net annual electricity consumption
  • a target of 50g CO2e/kWh of electricity consumed in the region by 2035
  • the roll out of electric vehicles and decarbonisation of the transport network
  • the use of smart and flexible energy technology (including energy storage and demand side response)
  • the role of energy efficiency and the development of low carbon heat technology
  • continued decentralisation of energy assets through local and community ownership.

Policy recommendations will be developed from the modelling analysis to outline how the region can encourage decarbonisation and decentralisation of the energy system and also highlight current barriers to this vision.

 

Final report can be found here.

Further details on the entire Re-energising Wales project are available here.

 

Led by: Johnny Gowdy

Contact: jgowdy@regen.co.uk

People on this project

Christine Chapter
Christine Chapter
Head of Innovation
Christine has recently joined Regen as our new Head of Innovation. She is looking…
Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Head of technical development
Ray leads Regen's technical development strategy, coordinating the development of the company's capabilities and…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our advisory projects,…
Madeleine Greenhalgh
Madeleine Greenhalgh
Policy and advocacy manager
Madeleine is the policy lead for Regen and the Electricity Storage Network, working to…
Kerry Hayes
Kerry Hayes
Project manager
Kerry is a project manager at Regen who has a broad range of experience,…
Jonty Haynes
Jonty Haynes
Energy analyst
Jonty is an Energy Analyst at Regen delivering a range of technical support services.…
Mark Howard
Mark Howard
Project Manager
Mark holds a bachelors degree in engineering and has over a decade of experience…
Merlin Hyman
Merlin Hyman
Chief executive
Merlin leads Regen’s mission to transform how we generate, supply and use energy. Merlin…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Senior energy analyst
As Senior Analyst at Regen Frankie has lead and helped deliver Regen's 'future energy…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Ellie Wilkes
Ellie Wilkes
Graduate intern
Ellie joined recently as an Intern. She splits her time between supporting projects in…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

Project duration: 2015 – 2018

The aim of this analysis was to support WPD to conduct network planning and investment appraisal. This was done by informing future load analysis, helping to identify where strategic network investment or active network management was needed. The fast-changing nature of our energy networks and the urgent goal to reach net-zero mean that we need this analysis now more than ever.

Since 2015, Regen has worked with WPD in the development of a methodology and process to create distribution future energy scenarios. WPD used the data from this 2016-2017 to identify potential network constraints and to develop a set of sub-transmission investment options.

Our reports for WPD’s licence areas are now available:

WPD

WPD has published its reports on the licence areas, Strategic network investment, based on the growth potential data we provided, which assesses options for reinforcement and provides recommendations for ‘low regret’ investment.

Regen are also working with UK Power Networks (UKPN), Scottish and Southern Electricity Networks (SSEN) and Wales and West Utilities (WWU) to develop detailed local scenario analysis for the future development of distributed energy. To find out more about our other Scenario projects, click here.


To find out more about our work with Scenarios, contact Poppy Maltby at pmaltby@regen.co.uk


 

People on this project

Ray Arrell
Ray Arrell
Head of technical development
Ray leads Regen's technical development strategy, coordinating the development of the company's capabilities and…
Tamar Bourne
Tamar Bourne
Senior project manager - smart energy lead
Tamar leads Regen’s smart energy and innovative supply work. Past projects include: writing the…
Olly Frankland
Olly Frankland
Project manager
Olly manages a wide variety of complex projects. He has developed a strong knowledge…
Johnny Gowdy
Johnny Gowdy
Director
Johnny is a director of Regen and leads the development of our advisory projects,…
Kerry Hayes
Kerry Hayes
Project manager
Kerry is a project manager at Regen who has a broad range of experience,…
Jonty Haynes
Jonty Haynes
Energy analyst
Jonty is an Energy Analyst at Regen delivering a range of technical support services.…
Ky Hoare
Ky Hoare
Local energy coordinator
Ky specialises in local energy issues and supports the delivery of Regen’s community energy…
Merlin Hyman
Merlin Hyman
Chief executive
Merlin leads Regen’s mission to transform how we generate, supply and use energy. Merlin…
Poppy Maltby
Poppy Maltby
Senior project manager
Poppy is a Senior Project Manager at Regen working on future scenarios and energy…
Frankie Mayo
Frankie Mayo
Senior energy analyst
As Senior Analyst at Regen Frankie has lead and helped deliver Regen's 'future energy…
Joe Noble
Joe Noble
Data analyst intern
Joe has recently joined Regen on a 6-month internship as a Data Analyst. Joe…
Ben Robertson
Ben Robertson
Energy Analyst
Having recently completed a 6-month internship with Regen, Ben works as an energy analyst…
Joel Venn
Joel Venn
Head analyst
As head analyst, Joel is responsible for leading and developing Regen’s analytical team, as…
Ellie Wilkes
Ellie Wilkes
Graduate intern
Ellie joined recently as an Intern. She splits her time between supporting projects in…
Hazel Williams
Hazel Williams
Head of delivery
Hazel is responsible for Regen’s project delivery, leading on resourcing, quality assurance and developing…

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